GiveWell has a major flaw in the way that it deals with uncertainty in its decision-making process. Namely: it (mostly) doesn’t, and that has serious implications on the reliability of its models.
Link below to the full page, with embedded webapps.
GiveWell has a major flaw in the way that it deals with uncertainty in its decision-making process. Namely: it (mostly) doesn’t, and that has serious implications on the reliability of its models.
Link below to the full page, with embedded webapps.